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dc.contributor.authorPal, Ratnabali
dc.contributor.authorSekh, Arif Ahmed
dc.contributor.authorKar, Samarjit
dc.contributor.authorPrasad, Dilip K.
dc.date.accessioned2021-01-07T14:06:49Z
dc.date.available2021-01-07T14:06:49Z
dc.date.issued2020-09-16
dc.description.abstractThe recent worldwide outbreak of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) has opened up new challenges to the research community. Artificial intelligence (AI) driven methods can be useful to predict the parameters, risks, and effects of such an epidemic. Such predictions can be helpful to control and prevent the spread of such diseases. The main challenges of applying AI is the small volume of data and the uncertain nature. Here, we propose a shallow long short-term memory (LSTM) based neural network to predict the risk category of a country. We have used a Bayesian optimization framework to optimize and automatically design country-specific networks. The results show that the proposed pipeline outperforms state-of-the-art methods for data of 180 countries and can be a useful tool for such risk categorization. We have also experimented with the trend data and weather data combined for the prediction. The outcome shows that the weather does not have a significant role. The tool can be used to predict long-duration outbreak of such an epidemic such that we can take preventive steps earlier.en_US
dc.identifier.citationPal R, Sekh AA, Kar S, Prasad DK. Neural Network Based Country Wise Risk Prediction of COVID-19. Applied Sciences. 2020en_US
dc.identifier.cristinIDFRIDAID 1857736
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.3390/app10186448
dc.identifier.issn2076-3417
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10037/20195
dc.language.isoengen_US
dc.publisherMDPIen_US
dc.relation.journalApplied Sciences
dc.rights.accessRightsopenAccessen_US
dc.rights.holderCopyright 2020 The Author(s)en_US
dc.subjectVDP::Mathematics and natural science: 400::Information and communication science: 420en_US
dc.subjectVDP::Matematikk og Naturvitenskap: 400::Informasjons- og kommunikasjonsvitenskap: 420en_US
dc.titleNeural Network Based Country Wise Risk Prediction of COVID-19en_US
dc.type.versionpublishedVersionen_US
dc.typeJournal articleen_US
dc.typeTidsskriftartikkelen_US
dc.typePeer revieweden_US


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